Omicron: Third Wave Is Expected In January-February Based On Mathematical Model


The Omicron variant of the corona virus has raised worldwide concern. While cases are increasing rapidly due to this variant in South Africa, many cases have been reported in India as well.Meanwhile, on the basis of a mathematical model developed by the government and developed by IIT Kanpur, it has been estimated that the third wave of corona may come in India between January and February next year.corona crisis

Third wave will be lighter than second wave – Agarwal

Professor Manindra Agarwal of IIT Kanpur informed that if the third wave comes, it will cross the peak in February. This will be lighter than the second wave caused by the delta variant and its impact and impact will depend on the steps taken by the government.He told that the new variant is not making people seriously ill. However, its contagiousness cannot be estimate


Number of daily cases can go up to 1-1.5 lakh- Agarwal

Professor Aggarwal said that to prevent the increase in cases in the third wave, light restrictions like night curfew and preventing the gathering of crowd will be enough. These steps will not increase the number of cases much during the peak.He estimated that if the vaccines do not prove effective against Omicron variants at all, the number of daily cases during the peak of the third wave could go up to 1-1.5 lakh.corona virus

Assembly elections to be held in February

Professor Aggarwal, who made estimations on the basis of mathematical models, said that more data is needed to confirm any kind in this regard.It is also worth noting that at a time when the peak of a possible third wave is being predicted in the country, assembly elections are proposed in Uttarakhand, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Goa and Manipur at the same time.In such a situation, political parties and voters will have to take extra precautions.corona virus

Omicron news

Experts are not unanimous about the third wave

Many countries of the world are facing the fourth and fifth wave of the epidemic these days. However, experts in India are not unanimous about the possible third wave of corona.While a third wave is being feared on the basis of mathematical models, some experts say that due to the spread of the epidemic and vaccination in India, antibodies remain in most people. Thus, the possibility of a new wave is variant of corona

Omicron reaches 46 countries, 21 cases in India

So far, Omicron has been found in 46 countries, including India. So far 21 cases of Omicron have been reported in India . Its cases were reported in Delhi, Maharashtra and Rajasthan on Sunday.Earlier, cases of this new variant have also been reported in Karnataka and Gujarat.Most of the cases have been reported from people who have returned from abroad, but a doctor without any travel record in Bangalore has also been found infected.